Business Confidence Index H2.25 Published

Short-term export credit providers report a stable overall outlook for demand, though many anticipate suppressed activity due to ongoing trade policy disruptions, factors that are also driving a cautious claims outlook as buyers grapple with higher import prices. Longer-tenor business shows moderate growth potential, particularly in the financing of infrastructure and renewable energy projects.

Trade policy disruption continues to shape short-term demand expectations. While some providers foresee suppressed demand due to reduced trade volumes, others anticipate a possible rebound once exporters adapt to the new trading environment and explore coverage once tariffs are fully implemented

Moderate growth is expected for longer-tenor cover, led by private insurers seeking to capitalise on demand for infrastructure projects and expanded collaboration with MDBs and DFIs. Public insurers maintain a stable outlook but expect to attract new clients for infrastructure and defence-related exports.

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